{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB3R94BD6",
  "slug": "will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31",
  "question": "Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "pump-fun",
    "buybacks",
    "financial-milestone",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether pump.fun's cumulative $PUMP token buybacks reach $500M by December 31, 2026. The sole market is a binary outcome priced on Polymarket. Resolution relies on the \"Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)\" metric published at fees.pump.fun. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the contract against that figure as of December 31, 2026 ET.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YCR2G7BZK3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.53,
    "implied_probability": 0.53
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCR2G7BZK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB3R94BD6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe390b8e4b31849a9947f864938400ebab6de7487eb53d6bded5ffaaddcc2a050",
      "question": "Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)\" metric published at https://fees.pump.fun/ as of December 31, 2026 ET determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fees.pump.fun/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fees.pump.fun",
            "url": "https://fees.pump.fun/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://fees.pump.fun/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "fees.pump.fun",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 62,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17913.382421,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4674532BD1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "buyback",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "pump buybacks",
        "pump.fun"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5BB3R94BD6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}