{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6TVNF04Q9",
  "slug": "will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-august-31-2026-20260619004734475",
  "question": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "russia-ukraine",
    "diplomatic-summit",
    "2026",
    "high-stakes-negotiation",
    "bilateral-meeting"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market prices the binary outcome of a direct in-person meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy before August 31, 2026. Only one platform is active here; no cross-platform structural contrast exists. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which requires documented evidence of direct personal interaction. Ambiguous diplomatic proximity without confirmed direct contact would likely trigger a dispute escalation under that mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-H28QNP7KL0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.024,
    "implied_probability": 0.024
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H28QNP7KL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R6TVNF04Q9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x630a3941e45b43cc4fef0802c3c9d1711b948a36035894c41041c283aebd6b88",
      "question": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in pers",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy met in person with direct interaction by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 27,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.024,
      "implied_probability": 0.024,
      "volume_24h_usd": 855.7358,
      "volume_total_usd": 38907.45059899994,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "geopolitics",
        "putin zelenskyy meeting",
        "russia",
        "ukraine"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R6TVNF04Q9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}