{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VH203XZTD1",
  "slug": "will-revolut-launch-a-usd-stablecoin-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "stablecoins",
    "revolut",
    "fintech",
    "usd-pegged",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Polymarket's market asks whether Revolut will launch a USD stablecoin by end of 2026. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Revolut's official announcements and credible media reports. The stablecoin must be actively transferable or tradable to satisfy resolution criteria. No corroborating market exists on a second platform for cross-platform structural comparison.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L864LKD8Z1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.42,
    "implied_probability": 0.42
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L864LKD8Z1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VH203XZTD1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd72f8ae72767e80d4021a1f447e492fcbb23533e6b5b6645b22bec3d893a2aee",
      "question": "Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Revolut launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Revolut, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Revolut's official announcements and credible media reports on whether a USD stablecoin actively transferrable or tradable on their platform launched by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Revolut launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Revolut, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Revolut",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18928.522215000008,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4D9147496B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "fintech",
        "revolut",
        "revolut usd stablecoin",
        "stablecoin",
        "usd"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VH203XZTD1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}