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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DQKBTL8TB7",
  "slug": "will-russia-enter-mykhailivka-by-april-30",
  "question": "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "ukraine-russia",
    "military-conflict",
    "territorial-control",
    "2026",
    "donbas"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Russian territorial entry into Mykhailivka across four sequential deadlines: April 30, May 31, July 31, and August 31, 2026. Each binary resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the Institute for the Study of War map layer as the authoritative control indicator. Later-dated contracts embed earlier outcomes; a May resolution cascades into the July and August questions automatically. Traders should note ISW map updates may lag real-time battlefield shifts, creating a resolution timing risk.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K1NT4ZTVB8",
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Mykhailivka, Sumy Oblast, (50.797758° N, 35.315210° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control mu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "May 31: Institute for the Study of War map layer indicating territorial control resolves whether the named location shows Russian control by May 1, 2026, 6:57 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T07:29:47Z",
      "status": "closed",
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      "question": "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Mykhailivka, Sumy Oblast, (50.797758° N, 35.315210° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control mu",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Institute for the Study of War map layer indicating territorial control resolves whether the named location shows Russian control by May 1, 2026, 6:57 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
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