{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GV6VW49BD4",
  "slug": "will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "russia",
    "g7",
    "international-relations",
    "sanctions-diplomacy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Russia will be formally readmitted to the G7 by December 31, 2026. Russia was suspended from the then-G8 following its 2014 annexation of Crimea. Resolution requires official statements from G7 member governments confirming formal readmission. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the contract against that governmental confirmation standard.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ML6K0NLC21",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.022,
    "implied_probability": 0.022
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ML6K0NLC21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GV6VW49BD4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb5fb3fd4dbc7fdc70e3666ed4193e3171ecc257dcd43e01b36dbd4efa01d777e",
      "question": "Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the title of the group changes (e.g., to \"G8\"), this market will still resolve to \"Yes\" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.\n\nA formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from G7 member states' governments confirming Russia's formal rejoining to the Group of Seven by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the title of the group changes (e.g., to \"G8\"), this market will still resolve to \"Yes\" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.\n\nA formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from G7 member states",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 53069.33827400001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "g7",
        "geopolitics",
        "russia",
        "russia g7 membership",
        "sanctions"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GV6VW49BD4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}