{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XDBQBGP715",
  "slug": "will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by",
  "question": "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-supreme-court",
    "judicial-retirement",
    "alito",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito will announce his retirement by three sequential deadlines in 2026: February 28, March 31, and December 31. The markets are structurally linked; an early resolution propagates through the later strikes, making each a conditional extension of the prior. The February 28 deadline has already passed its resolve_at timestamp of March 1, 2026. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5LX6288YX2",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9H0VS41NZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XDBQBGP715",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5aeab09fc3a662300d77de0b3803f84eea0ec5417355aa5e0a0da05b5f954540",
      "question": "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by February 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.\n\nAny qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "February 28: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-03-01T11:47:01Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.\n\nAny qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7409587af591e57f26cc32dd19c9673e6a01743697cc3cca4d866e0570a5ad89",
      "question": "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.\n\nAny qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:43:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.\n\nAny qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.",
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        "source_of_record": "official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.\n\nAny qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 8.18,
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5LX6288YX2",
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      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:43:11Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9H0VS41NZ9",
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      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XDBQBGP715",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}