{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
  "slug": "will-solstice-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "solstice",
    "binary-outcome",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Solstice will launch an actively tradable governance token by successive deadlines. The five Polymarket contracts span quarterly cutoffs, creating an implied probability term structure across the launch timeline. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using Solstice's official announcements and credible reporting. Resolution requires evidence of an actively tradable token, not merely a whitepaper or roadmap commitment.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S58F2QPZ38",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S58F2QPZ38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc5b108011e6e24e1dd4c07f96134e88bf75034dc16a6783a67a10d36a98e8bb8",
      "question": "Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Solstice's official announcements and credible reporting determine whether the project launched an actively tradable governance token by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/solsticefi",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 155012.300712,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-00C2F3E3E8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "solstice",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F5FV68MMD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d6b81fa5cbc3eb8217808c05c39ee26ca4ac6762bf978b02bad6719f1211276",
      "question": "Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Solstice's official announcements and credible reporting determine whether the project launched an actively tradable governance token by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/solsticefi",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 99251.79912900006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5567EACB13",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "solstice",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QD0BSS5QJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x33d458c0ed08b72a6b021e27b848099b40ae7cf3a4637177cd78b89b6f71ddfa",
      "question": "Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Solstice's official announcements and credible reporting determine whether the project launched an actively tradable governance token by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/solsticefi",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 85121.222361,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5033C8E893",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "solstice",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HZLMQQH731",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6e5bfb1db28eb587f9afda68f671aff0b5ea115dd24caad57dc889d4e5d9055f",
      "question": "Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Solstice's official announcements and credible reporting determine whether the project launched an actively tradable governance token by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/solsticefi",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 906.5466000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 34129.33112399999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BEE02F2B2D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "solstice",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QX3SBS6N41",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x116cffa74f783bc4c7b435619fe4b3a69583316feb1f4eb29d0d67e7f0c7eded",
      "question": "Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Solstice's official announcements and credible reporting determine whether the project launched an actively tradable governance token by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/solsticefi",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 41053.87840799999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F7EBD46B7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "solstice",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S58F2QPZ38",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F5FV68MMD1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QD0BSS5QJ5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HZLMQQH731",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QX3SBS6N41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SFL04DY404",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}