{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7CDWCNLP41",
  "slug": "will-stablecoins-hit-500b-before-2027",
  "question": "Will stablecoin market capitalization exceed $500 billion before 2027?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "stablecoins",
    "market-cap",
    "2027",
    "defi",
    "adoption"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether aggregate stablecoin market capitalization reaches $500 billion before January 1, 2027. DefiLlama's Total Stablecoins page is the authoritative data source for capitalization measurement. Resolution requires the threshold to be met on any single calendar day before the deadline. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs final settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-F0CXQ3X623",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.07,
    "implied_probability": 0.07
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F0CXQ3X623",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7CDWCNLP41",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5248073daa191c17bc1f258289afacf89515479aab95a07165e0cd9dcbc73b47",
      "question": "Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at:\nhttps://defillama.com/stablecoins\n\nA data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.\n\nIf the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "DefiLlama's Total Stablecoins page publishes the aggregate stablecoin market capitalization, with resolution on any day through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at:\nhttps://defillama.com/stablecoins\n\nA data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.\n\nIf the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "defillama.com",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://defillama.com/stablecoins",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 69,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3796.344284,
      "volume_total_usd": 590492.6932909993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E66F1E3798",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "market cap",
        "stablecoins",
        "stablecoins cap",
        "usdc",
        "usdt"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7CDWCNLP41",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}