{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-99YJSN2LN7",
  "slug": "will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled",
  "question": "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-midterms",
    "electoral-integrity",
    "2026",
    "constitutional-process"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections proceed on their constitutionally scheduled date. A single Polymarket binary prices the yes/no outcome directly. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing Federal Election Commission and official U.S. government sources. The market closes December 31, 2026, after results would be certified.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S5DBMXT4G1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.969,
    "implied_probability": 0.969
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S5DBMXT4G1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99YJSN2LN7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07",
      "question": "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission and official U.S. government sources determine whether the 2026 Midterm Elections occur on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the US government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.969,
      "implied_probability": 0.969,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 253346.56399599978,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elections",
        "midterms",
        "political event",
        "us",
        "us midterm elections"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-99YJSN2LN7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}