{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5SN6B7W5V0",
  "slug": "will-the-uk-designate-the-irgc-a-terrorist-organization-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-policy",
    "terrorism-designation",
    "iran-relations",
    "2026",
    "geopolitics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the UK Home Office will formally proscribe the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026. Only Polymarket lists this event, so no cross-platform structural contrast exists. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against an official UK government proscription announcement. No comparable Kalshi instrument is present for rate or outcome differentiation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MDZ3L2GH69",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MDZ3L2GH69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5SN6B7W5V0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x47dae10c137aed5c59e42319fabd1501733b45208b724129620b614222cb3c9e",
      "question": "Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThis includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.\n\nStatements by government officials, including th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UK Home Office announcement or official government designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a proscribed terrorist organization by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThis includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.\n\nStatements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 97046.00768799987,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iran",
        "irgc",
        "policy",
        "terrorism",
        "uk",
        "uk irgc terrorist"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MDZ3L2GH69",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5SN6B7W5V0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}