{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1B57MJ14Q5",
  "slug": "will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date",
  "question": "Will the UN Security Council pass a resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran deal by December 31?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "diplomacy",
    "nuclear-deal",
    "unsc-resolution",
    "us-iran-relations",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the UN Security Council formally adopts a resolution endorsing a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear or diplomatic agreement by December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary prices the yes/no outcome directly. Resolution depends on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle confirming official UNSC adoption records. No UNSC veto dynamics or deal-text thresholds are priced separately here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1DGF09V6J7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1DGF09V6J7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1B57MJ14Q5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0",
      "question": "UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?",
      "description": "On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal con",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The United Nations Security Council's formal adoption of a resolution endorsing, approving, implementing, or incorporating the U.S.-Iran final deal by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 96117.88339000013,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "iran",
        "nuclear deal",
        "united states",
        "unsc",
        "unsc resolution endorsing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1B57MJ14Q5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}