{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
  "slug": "will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-august-3-august-8-20260730202018839",
  "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 3 or August 8?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "white-house-operations",
    "daily-lid",
    "2026",
    "intraday-event"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether the White House issues a full lid before 6:30 PM on each day from August 3 through August 8, 2026. All six markets are structured identically as daily binary outcomes on Polymarket. Each resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The August 3 market resolved at 2026-08-04T03:19:29Z per that mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RDVP4CC7V1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.019,
    "implied_probability": 0.019
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z869J3GS00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0463b668c56d237158251b427d4c566fdc7ce9ad29fb183849df691ad2240cc1",
      "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 3?",
      "description": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 3: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T03:19:29Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 114.988,
      "volume_total_usd": 455.13956799999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lid",
        "schedule",
        "white house",
        "white house full"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RDVP4CC7V1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xba03e406d3e4a0bda6025151c5b6ac89c7a9b8f49251a133833cc62b2bc29a78",
      "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 4?",
      "description": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 4: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2468.929632,
      "volume_total_usd": 8128.515643999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lid",
        "schedule",
        "white house",
        "white house full"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HSQ8GCLPQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xecd5a8d2aaafa26faa727fde6fa6dbbe85172fc071929ae10f73f1d2255c808b",
      "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 5?",
      "description": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 5: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forth",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 134.978716,
      "volume_total_usd": 1960.790333,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lid",
        "schedule",
        "white house",
        "white house full"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8TS3N8BH47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x772953f200a0342415adca33440436010b45378f3ad470fe3fb13ef15d70f1a6",
      "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 6?",
      "description": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 6: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rollcall.com",
            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool",
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Roll Call",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.68,
      "implied_probability": 0.68,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 45.120824,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "lid",
        "schedule",
        "white house",
        "white house full"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P24SC82TT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x08f56b977f2e6c80ef1c4b77e9f130d482925ff712fd11a281981be531d72150",
      "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 7?",
      "description": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 7: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "forth.news",
            "url": "https://www.forth.news/whpool",
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          {
            "name": "Roll Call",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.41,
      "implied_probability": 0.41,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 167,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "schedule",
        "white house",
        "white house full"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3KBXVJ2Q60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa159b6d1829dbbfdf8c0ab02cfc6a2232a45da80ba48969923e0e7a72bfe0f3d",
      "question": "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?",
      "description": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve a",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 8: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A \"full lid\" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "forth.news",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 240.751572,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "schedule",
        "white house",
        "white house full"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z869J3GS00",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T03:19:29Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5K9Q5C0885",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}