{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G338FT1WW1",
  "slug": "will-the-workers-party-nominate-lula-for-president-of-brazil-by-august-15",
  "question": "Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "brazil-politics",
    "2026",
    "party-nomination",
    "lula"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Brazil's Workers' Party formally nominates Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate by August 15, 2026. Resolution relies on Brazil's Superior Electoral Court candidate registration filings as of that date. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B7439FPL61",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.96,
    "implied_probability": 0.96
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B7439FPL61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G338FT1WW1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x35fc6fb38021d969a3e0987a7eb51517acfc3b1a3faf3ebfd31afc3874a876d7",
      "question": "Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?",
      "description": "The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will re",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) candidate registration filings as of August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3441.333031,
      "volume_total_usd": 118579.81417499967,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "lula",
        "politics",
        "workers party lula",
        "workers-party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G338FT1WW1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}