{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RZLRZJ80V4",
  "slug": "will-theo-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Theo launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "theo",
    "blockchain",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Theo, a crypto trading platform, will launch a native token by successive quarterly deadlines through December 31, 2026. Each Polymarket contract extends the deadline by one quarter, creating a term structure of launch probability across five expiries. A \"YES\" resolution on any earlier contract implies \"YES\" on all later ones, making the spread between adjacent contracts a pure incremental launch-timing probability. All five resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, meaning disputed outcomes are subject to that protocol's escalation and voting process.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-00JGPXB3K9",
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    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:17:35Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Theo_Network",
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      "question_id": "CMX-E40776EBBA",
      "also_on": null,
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      "question": "Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PV6L5XZC05",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T08:23:53Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Theo_Network",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-AAD31E56BC",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5Q1XQ5QFT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RZLRZJ80V4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x71fa069210c5f051d0c3acf58356c3df2b14d631ae44f58961720644fed75568",
      "question": "Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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