{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD56H0NQ25",
  "slug": "will-trump-attend-nato-summit-279",
  "question": "Will specific NATO member leaders attend the NATO Summit?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "nato-summit",
    "geopolitics",
    "politics",
    "international-diplomacy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track attendance of three U.S. officials at the NATO Summit scheduled for July 2026. Each market is a separate binary contract on one named individual. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using credible news reporting as the confirmation standard. No cross-platform structural difference exists here; all three markets are identically structured attendance binaries on the same event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S9MPNGMQ31",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.999,
    "implied_probability": 0.999
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S9MPNGMQ31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD56H0NQ25",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x71ee9c148f0e2b386ba959aca5954c5e6c428695bf1a5fca0af9194f40487758",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026\n in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump: Credible news reporting will confirm whether the named candidate attended the NATO Summit scheduled for July 7–8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye, by July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026\n in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.22,
      "volume_total_usd": 201457.17561400027,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "attendance",
        "donald trump",
        "nato",
        "summit"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5GF1ZQR6M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD56H0NQ25",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa46f7716409ea9194c54d014437d572f240f84585504a2078be8e2cf506e0025",
      "question": "Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026\n in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "JD Vance: Credible news reporting will confirm whether the named candidate attended the NATO Summit scheduled for July 7–8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye, by July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026\n in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 342.31,
      "volume_total_usd": 19692.364679000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-646YLNRNL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FD56H0NQ25",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfff846aea9c0528d0e7803a82fc14a2fbede342f862f9a71e59f658ec60e14f3",
      "question": "Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026\n in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marco Rubio: Credible news reporting will confirm whether the named candidate attended the NATO Summit scheduled for July 7–8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye, by July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026\n in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.999,
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      "volume_total_usd": 51031.45403100002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "marco rubio",
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        "summit"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FD56H0NQ25",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}