{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-31KZ9VN6Q4",
  "slug": "will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "tariffs",
    "fiscal-policy",
    "2026",
    "economic-policy"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the Trump Administration formally establishes a tariff dividend or rebate program by June 30, 2026. Only Polymarket lists this event, structured as a binary outcome on policy enactment. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle to confirm formal program creation. No cross-platform comparison is available for this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-67T93SJ4Q6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-67T93SJ4Q6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-31KZ9VN6Q4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa772932032462681258298f5b3471dd5f2f5ee514b51558db05a39556d5e97f",
      "question": "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.\n\nA qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves based on whether the Trump Administration formally creates a tariff dividend/rebate through signed federal legislation or executive action by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.\n\nA qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 14649.488714000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dividend",
        "economic policy",
        "tariffs",
        "trump",
        "trump tariff dividend"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-67T93SJ4Q6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-02T03:24:50Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-31KZ9VN6Q4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}