{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LSDLL928Y8",
  "slug": "will-trump-end-department-of-education-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Trump end the Department of Education before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "us-government",
    "cabinet-policy",
    "executive-action",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. Department of Education ceases operations or merges before January 1, 2027. A single Polymarket binary prices the outcome directly. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which evaluates whether the department fully ceased operations or merged into another agency. No corroborating platform structures this event at a different level or direction.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BLVM8TJ046",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.067,
    "implied_probability": 0.067
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BLVM8TJ046",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LSDLL928Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c6d4293f30922a9f63d3bf76d852b5e5b704bedc4bc886675267dd09b683099",
      "question": "Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns),",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether the Department of Education ceased operations entirely or merged into another agency by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the US government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.067,
      "implied_probability": 0.067,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12100.553877999992,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024-2026",
        "department education elimination",
        "trump",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LSDLL928Y8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}