{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYX3GQRBH4",
  "slug": "will-trump-endorse-any-candidate-for-president-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "elections",
    "endorsements",
    "2026-us-politics",
    "candidate-support"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Donald Trump issues a public endorsement of any 2028 presidential candidate before January 1, 2027. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing Trump's public statements or official announcements. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform divergence exists. The 24-month lead time makes early endorsement signals the primary pricing variable.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KT611WN850",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08,
    "as_of": "2026-09-02T12:00:40.565Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KT611WN850",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NYX3GQRBH4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd1194053d0ffb0eef77e3e0f5af3797f213455629f02951494c91fe60d44b224",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public statements or official announcements regarding endorsement of any 2028 presidential or Republican primary candidate, as reported by credible news sources or confirmed by Trump representatives by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T12:00:40.565Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 31611.677212,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "2026",
        "endorsement",
        "trump",
        "trump presidential endorsement"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NYX3GQRBH4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}