{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYGG3P41R5",
  "slug": "will-trump-endorse-jd-vance-for-president-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "2026",
    "endorsements",
    "republican-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Donald Trump will publicly endorse JD Vance for the 2028 presidential race before January 1, 2027. Only one platform structures this event, as a binary outcome on Polymarket. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Donald Trump's public statements. Any ambiguous or informal endorsement language may complicate settlement determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-97KXKXX6L8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.11,
    "implied_probability": 0.11
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-97KXKXX6L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VYGG3P41R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9c414cb64000dc7645b2bba8d7586746f3ddb1cfd1b564769188b81cd63ad667",
      "question": "Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Don",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Donald Trump's public statements regarding endorsement or voting intention for JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election or Republican primary, as reported by major news outlets, through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 61203.18006499999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024-2026",
        "endorsement",
        "presidential",
        "trump",
        "trump endorsement jd",
        "vance"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VYGG3P41R5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}