{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
  "slug": "will-trump-launch-a-coin-by-january-31",
  "question": "Will Trump launch a coin in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "trump",
    "cryptocurrency-launch",
    "meme-coin",
    "political-figure",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether Donald Trump officially launches an actively tradable token. The December 31 market extends the resolution window beyond the March 31 market. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using consensus of credible reporting. The March 31 contract prices near-term probability; the December 31 contract prices the full-year probability.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LWKS34Q9D6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.04,
    "implied_probability": 0.04
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWKS34Q9D6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3e531a2beecc6a9bd1b088998133749c3e41e57ed3c44694d93b5de8f1169c90",
      "question": "Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Consensus of credible reporting on whether Donald Trump officially launches an actively tradable token confirmed through official social media or public statements by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 80052.79569500004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-76A23984C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "cryptocurrency",
        "trump",
        "trump coin launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T5D6RB2ZM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9c7ba761d15d494d35854ca9992e61c8aa27da13f7f0eef75f9d2a9d6697f01a",
      "question": "Will Trump launch a coin by March 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Consensus of credible reporting on whether Donald Trump officially launches an actively tradable token confirmed through official social media or public statements by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3271.019902,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-09580857C7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coin",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "trump",
        "trump coin launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T5D6RB2ZM2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}