{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
  "slug": "will-trump-launch-a-coin-by-january-31",
  "question": "Will Trump launch a coin?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "trump",
    "cryptocurrency-launch",
    "meme-coin",
    "political-figure",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Donald Trump will launch a cryptocurrency token by two sequential deadlines. The March 31, 2026 market has already passed its resolution date. The December 31, 2026 market remains open, extending the window by nine months. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LWKS34Q9D6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.17,
    "implied_probability": 0.17,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWKS34Q9D6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3e531a2beecc6a9bd1b088998133749c3e41e57ed3c44694d93b5de8f1169c90",
      "question": "Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 40.122351,
      "volume_total_usd": 91661.443697,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-76A23984C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coin",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "trump",
        "trump coin launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T5D6RB2ZM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9c7ba761d15d494d35854ca9992e61c8aa27da13f7f0eef75f9d2a9d6697f01a",
      "question": "Will Trump launch a coin by March 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T06:43:19Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.059,
      "implied_probability": 0.059,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3271.019902,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-09580857C7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coin",
        "cryptocurrency",
        "trump",
        "trump coin launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T5D6RB2ZM2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T06:43:19Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7W00DLKZP2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}