{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YWKR51PG74",
  "slug": "will-trump-pardon-sbf-by-july-31-20260608235339562",
  "question": "Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried by July 31?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "crypto",
    "politics",
    "sbf-ftx",
    "presidential-pardon",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Donald Trump will issue a formal pardon to Sam Bankman-Fried before July 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary contract prices the yes/no outcome. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the White House Office of the Pardon Attorney or an official presidential proclamation. No corroborating Kalshi contract exists for cross-platform comparison.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FPQ2WV1K65",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.005,
    "implied_probability": 0.005
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FPQ2WV1K65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YWKR51PG74",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfe6f1dad89e1ffad14c6429e2f50354d78bef4ea94b0444c9b8bb7ef24be7175",
      "question": "Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The White House Office of the Pardon Attorney or official presidential proclamation determines whether Sam Bankman-Fried receives a pardon, commutation, or reprieve by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T19:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T19:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the US government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6183.557846000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 846066.3739779908,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-468348919C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "legal",
        "pardon",
        "sbf",
        "sbf pardon",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YWKR51PG74",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}