{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
  "slug": "will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-onptptpt-20260724221849631",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly insult someone?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "public-statements",
    "daily-occurrence",
    "2026",
    "behavioral-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These 31 Polymarket markets track whether Donald Trump makes a public insult on each calendar day across August 2026. Each daily binary resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The definition of \"publicly insult\" carries interpretive risk; resolution may hinge on edge cases the UMA protocol adjudicators must judge. Traders can construct implied frequency distributions across the daily strip.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BWW2TYT3H3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.91,
    "implied_probability": 0.91
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CWXBX6R294",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4e26711c6f2c1cd92dd37849310c138e3d16acff1b3cac7084a0c354d337f4b6",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 1: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T13:41:14Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1459.797654,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BS4041F028",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0af1f9b149ddb1afb163530e324de03f7182be41769d3355abfe08aa3a5260f8",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 2: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-02T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T11:08:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3201.8870699999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 3874.1603459999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SWPJN94YW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfbb48c22db473508f4741d297363b115569f8a1d0a15276ceee41648f05bb244",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 3: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-03T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T21:08:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 632.4766000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 2054.587582,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YJX8ZXT5N9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf3454953f9282678c30b987175e57708348112d7972b163238603dc5c9dce7ac",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 4: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 325.744222,
      "volume_total_usd": 766.6592410000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BWW2TYT3H3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb736de9fb14949d7210e30b727b8da624614d71b96c485722dde158daf3bb7d7",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 5: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2687.3364269999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 4402.5537589999985,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-45Z7DFRRR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x584a4052655e9ffa10ca936620f2ddaf42782c08894cc6b3e2c107dac950e37b",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 6: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P6J3ZC7BK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x348ef4087749d6048a00d631f68648cee442062adcf3120a5293108bec368801",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 7: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S6TXZNHW50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4759bb5e9e3e2d8e5eaa2e76b0c4c920b93d75124d154b3ca60b40bdb7152f78",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 8: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x70b69a95be0244a1e67438db9ff3bf9ab4ea3be0e1679b24466e18c7cc48fd98",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 9: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-09T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-09T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb059527343def53b502b1cee719213a86356efd406a7d263b51b05ad8c0ce21f",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 10: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-10T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-10T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 11: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x66881e3e20698a0b7ca99661b26f3b8767c64e937bf6c3a95830f68540c3f443",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 12: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7WNY83K9Z0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb74cdb90baf44e9b3d65c01ee5811c67fa38d13109b9d5544966333faca083a0",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 13: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-13T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
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          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2SM2RCY5T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3be51072566104aed34940d7d14b3c673872bd33413ac36a48b95677e9954a98",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 14: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x84fbc69e9e5f62b7fe709257d4b9c8341f34c45695afaa54f3a288cc10f19ee8",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 15, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 15: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D97KXN1L91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4fc3b541f61e6ed2e890a3aa99c76e1f2a5db4ddef22b5e9d1022674fe039d1a",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 16: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-16T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-16T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GL62XVS6B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x649761cf2e9ee306802f09710a4cf189630b557e164178d06780589155c78876",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 17: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-17T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-17T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 23,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 353.477893,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K47GFW09B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3106311460f9063f4cb2fd43df87037a936aed83568f3b2d773c67c5e7bdaa64",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 18: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NGTZD1HLQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0612ea177e3b1839a1a037927f6fa8b004d7ac7dd4c2f18e194bda2106c82654",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 19: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-19T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-19T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
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          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 685.454542,
      "volume_total_usd": 1947.580078,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FSKBFDK3R2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf59064b09c8badae327e5a99f228de9754638addd4aacbdc1ed74a186bacfce4",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 20: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-20T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-20T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X2V9VS5853",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5733190a32b5065b17ab36deb4edc0304efba932bf2b7871621e8c2202aacb20",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 21, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 21: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-21T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-21T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 81.169449,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8F9PXCKG23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0eaeb2c45c035d9529fa8af10fc45838f91441be07ecd0eb78f19e296527db21",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 22: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-22T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-22T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.87,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 25.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1MX1LCZG02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc48b76da92248308485df5e9bd0600030314ef13737aa6f382149cdea2cfb18b",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 23: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-23T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
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          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.8,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 86.666665,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LQNJ06H872",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb7c58a0e80f18ed3692e9dc19d1c632f930e895cc4cfa902514018773a149d12",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 24: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-24T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-24T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 117.647057,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R81V0G01G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4753f583ea0d01626aa65220a4f39222f6ce77d1d6e1ca76be5fa5d1d33014bd",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 25: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-25T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-25T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8MSPBLF7J6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc914009c890c92d1277b6017091a63fc99eba1b9ec4da4b22b397d97045f68b4",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 26, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 26: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-26T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-26T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NGQMCWZ5X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7005d02ccbf300b0d7d4a7419aa3ca257d113929b4d5ebcc070ac2f677b932e9",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 27: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WYXHBH5FR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x393d7f740bbab7aa4a19c03e488c55a776779e31cd6875dad18338cc60ded280",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 28: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S5B9YXLB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa6fe76978b700acca4324e328666bad035b4150f499dd3cd069fd4e20b72e16",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 29: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-29T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-29T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "August 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-30T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-30T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac6dc8d95e8c00a1a721cd579c112486fe09e56155157c6a0e2b6b812a65676a",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.\n\nImages and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.\n\nA public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., \"He is a disaster candidate,\" \"He is terrible at his job\"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., \"He has bad policies,\" \"He is wrong about healthcare\").\n\nA statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. \n\nThe resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "public statements made by Donald Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 23,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 380.548887,
      "volume_total_usd": 685.7279329999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "trump publicly insult"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BS4041F028",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T11:08:41Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SWPJN94YW7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-03T21:08:12Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CWXBX6R294",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-01T13:41:14Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8P0YWLNWL8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}