{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RB2S29CH51",
  "slug": "will-trump-repeal-presidential-term-limits-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "us-constitution",
    "term-limits",
    "2026",
    "legislative-action"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Trump signs legislation repealing the 22nd Amendment's presidential term limits before December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary prices the yes/no outcome. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing federal legislative records and the U.S. Supreme Court docket. Repeal requires a two-thirds congressional supermajority and ratification by three-fourths of states.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6G17R8LKD6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.045,
    "implied_probability": 0.045
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6G17R8LKD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RB2S29CH51",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f4c8d786934a7c44d2a130b47401cdec5d94559335eec4d9e9372556adfdbbf",
      "question": "Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAny law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be offici",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Federal legislative records and U.S. Supreme Court docket determine whether Trump signs a bill repealing the 22nd Amendment, Congress passes such legislation, or the Court rules to permit presidents more than two terms by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAny law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThis market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Trump administration",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "U.S. Supreme Court decisions",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.045,
      "implied_probability": 0.045,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11880.104722999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "constitutional-amendment",
        "trump",
        "trump presidential term",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RB2S29CH51",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}