{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
  "slug": "will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by",
  "question": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "trump",
    "us-policy",
    "2026",
    "government-action"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Trump will restart Project Freedom across three sequential deadlines: May 15, May 31, and June 30, 2026. All three are structured identically as binary outcome markets on Polymarket. No cross-platform structural contrast exists here; the differentiation is solely deadline tiering across the same platform. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the event's stated source.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N2WRYCSZL4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x854be4bfe0485ef2378856c735bd93d734ce95f6c7c2d307fd40120519103080",
      "question": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?",
      "description": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May 15: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-16T09:07:01Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 128507.841887,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "policy",
        "project-freedom",
        "trump",
        "trump project freedom"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KDBD9CYY65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a87a0011494682e4d17a9073059cbbd32ebea4bbc7284219afb5e9a6b4ca8f6",
      "question": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?",
      "description": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T06:24:52Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1159693.3793249982,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "policy",
        "project-freedom",
        "trump",
        "trump project freedom"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N2WRYCSZL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfd4d487d004c266493bdf32551d7f018c7eb4b9325f42ac368dd5075eec36a9",
      "question": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?",
      "description": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 59,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3135487.8375099995,
      "volume_total_usd": 5328105.882777,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "policy",
        "project-freedom",
        "trump",
        "trump project freedom"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N2WRYCSZL4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KDBD9CYY65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-01T06:24:52Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RMTJDFMBH2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-16T09:07:01Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}