{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4GRY31QS88",
  "slug": "will-trump-visit-north-korea-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Trump visit North Korea by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "north-korea",
    "geopolitics",
    "diplomatic-visit",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether Donald Trump will make an official visit to North Korea. The June 30 market closes before the December 31 market, creating a nested binary structure. A \"yes\" on the nearer contract implies \"yes\" on the farther one, but not vice versa. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2LVPNXH5C6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.206,
    "implied_probability": 0.206,
    "as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y2X38MH6R3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4GRY31QS88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0ec47e6c3df4735e16169f4058905059f795707ec7f771b5d1118fd4fdb6cb4f",
      "question": "Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?",
      "description": "If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:08:53Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "information released by his verified social media accounts",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from North Korea",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 31243.907997000013,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "north korea",
        "trump",
        "trump north korea"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2LVPNXH5C6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4GRY31QS88",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4e53d90b756b3820270df8c51acb5ddd48ce090c3c7fa05e162c9d897b8688d6",
      "question": "Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?",
      "description": "If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official informat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Trump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "information released by his verified social media accounts",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official information from North Korea",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 40,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.206,
      "implied_probability": 0.206,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 23.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 123551.425032,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "north korea",
        "trump",
        "trump north korea"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y2X38MH6R3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:08:53Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4GRY31QS88",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}