{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J2BL0PYK47",
  "slug": "will-trump-wear-a-yarmulke-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Trump wear a yarmulke in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "personal-conduct",
    "religious-apparel",
    "2026",
    "cultural-visibility"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Donald Trump will publicly wear a yarmulke at any point during 2026. Resolution requires credible photographic or video evidence, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. The evidentiary bar is visual confirmation from credible media outlets.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XZZ52VTKM2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.16,
    "implied_probability": 0.16
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XZZ52VTKM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J2BL0PYK47",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x206dd42ac46c6ecf5bae1c36e07a29c76fd2472051fa9c0b9c1b4c820ab6bb1d",
      "question": "Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Credible media outlet photographs or videos of Donald Trump wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah between market creation and December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 15034.321852000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "apparel",
        "religious",
        "trump",
        "trump yarmulke wearing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-J2BL0PYK47",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}