{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5M8QYFZ3L7",
  "slug": "will-tucker-carlson-announce-presidential-run-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "tucker-carlson",
    "2026-presidential",
    "political-announcement",
    "politics",
    "us-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Tucker Carlson will publicly declare a 2028 presidential candidacy before June 30, 2026. Resolution depends on Tucker Carlson's official public statements, as verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. Ambiguous declarations short of a formal announcement may create resolution disputes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6GBFY01DX3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6GBFY01DX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5M8QYFZ3L7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x488793853f134d0a2589a57b34af4fe834e2730eaca2b22bf1c8fc061d2630e4",
      "question": "Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tucker Carlson officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Tucker Carlson will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Tucker Carlson (e.g., via",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tucker Carlson's official public statements announcing a 2028 presidential run between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tucker Carlson officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Tucker Carlson will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Tucker Carlson (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 491.166665,
      "volume_total_usd": 18885.19015400001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024-election",
        "announcement",
        "politics",
        "tucker carlson"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6GBFY01DX3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5M8QYFZ3L7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}