{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M68WCYGNH9",
  "slug": "will-turkey-schedule-early-presidential-elections-in-2026",
  "question": "Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "turkey",
    "elections-2026",
    "constitutional-politics",
    "government-scheduling"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Turkey officially schedules a snap presidential election before the end of 2026. Resolution depends on official announcements from the Turkish Presidency, Grand National Assembly, or the Supreme Election Council. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs settlement. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VG9LXQ30F3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.18,
    "implied_probability": 0.18
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VG9LXQ30F3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M68WCYGNH9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xda2c94b13cfb01655e69e1ad2c914666a328f316355afd0ac09d2cb4b42edf36",
      "question": "Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently sch",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements by the Turkish Presidency, Grand National Assembly, or Supreme Election Council (YSK) of an early presidential election scheduled before the 2028 election through December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election.\n\nAnnouncements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify.\n\nIf early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Turkish government authorities",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 146.209878,
      "volume_total_usd": 104450.27115399997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elections",
        "politics",
        "turkey",
        "turkey early presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M68WCYGNH9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}