{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
  "slug": "will-tuyo-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "tuyo",
    "2028",
    "defi-ecosystem",
    "project-milestone"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Tuyo will launch an actively tradable token by successive quarterly deadlines through December 2027. All seven markets are hosted on Polymarket and form a sequential ladder of binary strike dates. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity as evidence. Earlier strikes imply higher bars; resolution of any earlier deadline shapes implied probability for later ones.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6JR9CJWK94",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BHXGP44W92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x13ff5be4c65bb5083f662fd451796a8cafe97a6a35604c889f7c7188a0f1c430",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2435.8221650000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EB5ABBEAB8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "tuyo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1YRMPRJ6V4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a6092a31220c1d72ecb2b22785a54becd46681aa2480a9bc703344c32fba08e",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.58,
      "implied_probability": 0.58,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2588.170714,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C3B705413F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "tuyo"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBRG31MQ89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4c58cc6b48875d035c027fd9e6933ab40b34fde576fed37c35d8f4d55de3d07f",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2300.8492,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A14CC8FE8F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "tuyo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQ32RSK154",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3547ddcf3192a5734fdcaf7c7a4fce52db99fd24d9a49f765dd6c5904454e89f",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2168.2629349999993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-964A5AFAF2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "tuyo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DSRD4NHSQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8f2215e0a12f2c0682508b8181de180a29b64a09aee1a16b8c683f732e25807e",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1185.6382520000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6168252126",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "token",
        "tuyo"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JR9CJWK94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xad197022da2de43d9c8f0ebb56f5fe059a2c0dccbf2a14813d495c8a1627294c",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 3488.768152000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-13C8189A09",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "tuyo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YXG8H94W15",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1141e613c42efb2c86ef4e547cc062377db3077aeced18cf52c85e670829c9e3",
      "question": "Will Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tuyo's official announcements and public trading activity determine whether an actively tradable token launched by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tuyo officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/itstuyo",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 0.49,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1489.335079,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A3884E6D9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "tuyo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JR9CJWK94",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KP78J9NBM7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}