{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFW6KCY9C6",
  "slug": "will-unit-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will Unit launch a token by the settlement date?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "unit-finance",
    "2026",
    "product-launch"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Unit will launch a crypto token by successive year-end deadlines. All three are structured as binary outcome questions on Polymarket, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The markets are cascading: a 2025 launch would resolve all three YES, while a 2026 launch resolves only the latter two. The 2025 deadline market resolved at January 1, 2026, per its resolve_at timestamp.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2TY1R9ZBN9",
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    "implied_probability": 0.001
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFW6KCY9C6",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x2a21860762ccca96f4b65b0616c865f2b659bfc1a2f9ba5bcea6820379252cbc",
      "question": "Will Unit launch a token in 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2025: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-01-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:35:39Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
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          {
            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 51434.903512,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-C0B8E9A6DB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "token",
        "unit",
        "unit token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-99232HZ8F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFW6KCY9C6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xad6b6fb149c8c50df1ea56e7f3a0fd42b95ada7e178683d51a536235a6b38a3f",
      "question": "Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 115.33,
      "volume_total_usd": 13439.499363000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5391440AF3",
      "also_on": [
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          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-5DBTZ6H1N4",
          "price": 0.26
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      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "token",
        "unit",
        "unit token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9SF8RD8Q21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RFW6KCY9C6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcbeff66b19af9a6d861778d309ab0eb641743cbde146e278642a36e4f1de60da",
      "question": "Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "hyperunit.xyz",
            "url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Unit",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 48.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 16942.974745999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0BCB36D7A0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "token",
        "unit",
        "unit token launch"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2TY1R9ZBN9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:35:39Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RFW6KCY9C6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}