{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MCH816DKY8",
  "slug": "will-united-stables-hit-4b-in-2026",
  "question": "Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "stablecoin",
    "market-cap",
    "2027",
    "valuation"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether United Stables' total circulating stablecoin supply reaches $3 billion at any point in 2026. Resolution is determined by DefiLlama's United Stablecoin market cap chart, which serves as the authoritative data source. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs final settlement at close on January 1, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-71XHFN8JJ4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.09,
    "implied_probability": 0.09
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-71XHFN8JJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MCH816DKY8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7985a813b3463ba7b8c028412d893b8224651c0b1b84c74bbd2f2321b48b46d5",
      "question": "Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $3B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is DefiLlama’s United Stablecoin page, available at:\nhttps://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables\n\nA data point on the DefiLlama \"Total circ\" chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.\n\nIf the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "DefiLlama's United Stablecoin market cap chart shows whether the total circulating supply reached $3B on any day by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $3B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is DefiLlama’s United Stablecoin page, available at:\nhttps://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables\n\nA data point on the DefiLlama \"Total circ\" chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.\n\nIf the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "defillama.com",
            "url": "https://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "DefiLlama",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14538.828758999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B3715936B1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "united stables",
        "united stables valuation",
        "valuation"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MCH816DKY8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}