{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MF2T04RSK7",
  "slug": "will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027",
  "question": "Will the US withdraw from NATO by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
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  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "geopolitics",
    "us-foreign-policy",
    "nato-alliance",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the United States will formally withdraw from NATO within 2026. All three are binary outcome contracts on Polymarket, structured as sequential deadline strikes: April 30, June 30, and December 31. Earlier strikes imply faster withdrawal; the December 31 contract is the broadest resolution window. All three resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
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      "question": "Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?",
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      "close_at": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-32VS3MCNQ0",
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      "source": "platform_api",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-05-01T06:46:50Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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