{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
  "slug": "will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026",
  "question": "Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "stablecoins",
    "market-share",
    "usd-denominated",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether USD-denominated stablecoins will drop below 99% of total stablecoin supply in 2026. Resolution depends on Artemis Analytics' Stablecoin Supply by Currency data, the authoritative source for this measurement. Only one market exists here; there is no cross-platform structural contrast to note. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle governs settlement, resolving at 2027-01-01.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DBC97NVZ94",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBC97NVZ94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36a34d4a645725ca2f09fd4a7c6961aee5110a2a94079d65325d33b8dda67b99",
      "question": "Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.\n\nA monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable cryp",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Artemis Analytics' \"Stablecoin Supply by Currency\" chart determines whether USD-denominated stablecoins fall below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point during 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.\n\nA monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "app.artemisanalytics.com",
            "url": "https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 47272.713621,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 99,
      "question_id": "CMX-44E5CB1D4A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "market-share",
        "stablecoins",
        "usd",
        "usd denominated stablecoin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}