{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
  "slug": "will-usd-denominated-stablecoin-market-share-fall-below-99-in-2026",
  "question": "Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "stablecoins",
    "market-share",
    "usd-denominated",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether USD-denominated stablecoins will drop below 99% of total stablecoin supply in 2026. Artemis publishes the authoritative \"Supply by Currency Peg\" chart on its stablecoins sector page. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle at market close on January 1, 2027. The single binary market leaves no cross-platform structural comparison available.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DBC97NVZ94",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08,
    "as_of": "2026-08-31T19:00:46.435Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBC97NVZ94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x36a34d4a645725ca2f09fd4a7c6961aee5110a2a94079d65325d33b8dda67b99",
      "question": "Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the \"Supply by Currency Peg\" chart under the \"By Token\" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.\n\nA monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve bas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Artemis publishes the \"Supply by Currency Peg\" chart on its stablecoins sector page, with monthly USD-denominated stablecoin percentage data.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the \"Supply by Currency Peg\" chart under the \"By Token\" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.\n\nA monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "artemis.ai",
            "url": "https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "artemis.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-31T19:00:46.435Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 48894.429825999985,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 99,
      "question_id": "CMX-44E5CB1D4A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "market-share",
        "stablecoins",
        "usd",
        "usd denominated stablecoin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-S8HG1DCMT9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}