{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
  "slug": "will-usd-hit-iranian-rials-by-july-31-20260626150325078",
  "question": "Will USD fall to or reach a target Iranian rial rate in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "currency-exchange",
    "iran",
    "fx-markets",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Polymarket markets track whether USD/IRR crosses discrete rial thresholds by July 31, 2026. Three markets ask whether the dollar rises above 1.7M, 1.8M, or 1.9M rials; three ask whether it falls below 1.6M, 1.5M, or 1.4M rials. Together they form an implied distribution around current spot. Bonbast's free-market rate is the authoritative source; resolution runs through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RGRRZGYQ64",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.028,
    "implied_probability": 0.028
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9F802X9V4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7f7b84df037dc66282b6e5e8a4f4063a4344a2d1af342cd0f59f9876bd0de26",
      "question": "Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1.9M: Bonbast's daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves whether the specified threshold was reached by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-19T02:29:40Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.991,
      "implied_probability": 0.991,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 7369.536638,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1900000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FF64A8AEEE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "forex",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TMC870RJ32",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81530757c8dc8a79fd42404b5a877cbaad3889f35221ccc76a93ec51983985ce",
      "question": "Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1.8M: Bonbast's daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves whether the specified threshold was reached by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-10T06:52:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4876.93976,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1800000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C8ACD02B16",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "forex",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VZZ9670MF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f1548c9e97cb915fd3330d09b53157a71d8de92e6c07cfb28eb7429ddfdddf5",
      "question": "Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1.7M: Bonbast's daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves whether the specified threshold was reached by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T09:08:50Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5239.339284,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1700000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E0BFB730CD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "forex",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RGRRZGYQ64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe7db420fbeace94554dda2603f84f64ad3434716745d6bb6ea1cff0082f831cd",
      "question": "Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ 1.6M: Bonbast's daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves whether the specified threshold was reached by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.028,
      "implied_probability": 0.028,
      "volume_24h_usd": 416,
      "volume_total_usd": 8528.877184,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A71CB67963",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "forex",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VGCWX3X7X2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1512c8a837a4885064c7bf5e57a3bcfd5e70e3c5275e02d33646b1ea7e2ea0c",
      "question": "Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ 1.5M: Bonbast's daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves whether the specified threshold was reached by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 317.58545000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5164526701",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "forex",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MM78K09T71",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GPFDBMQZM0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc9769c41f70e26bcc383af6d30084a797509b20df7e6846bf8bf9d3be8fc6830",
      "question": "Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ 1.4M: Bonbast's daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves whether the specified threshold was reached by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "bonbast.com",
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.023,
      "implied_probability": 0.023,
      "volume_24h_usd": 449.9695,
      "volume_total_usd": 1543.0149539999984,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1400000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1B19C38931",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "forex",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9F802X9V4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-19T02:29:40Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
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