{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
  "slug": "will-usd-hit-iranian-rials-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will the USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "currency-exchange",
    "iran",
    "usd-rial",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether USD/IRR crosses discrete rial thresholds by June 30, 2026. Three markets price upside strikes at 1.8M, 1.9M, and 2.0M rials; three price downside strikes at 1.5M, 1.6M, and 1.7M rials. Together they form an implied distribution of the spot rate at expiry. All six resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using Bonbast's daily finalized exchange rate as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5L3YN0N3B8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DD4L20KJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x721f396282b27b3c2d78d88170285941686e071b7b4a2a1463f68061b6c581ce",
      "question": "Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1.9M: Bonbast's daily finalized USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves this market by June 30, 2026, if the specified rate threshold is met on any day through the deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bonbast",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2959.607141,
      "volume_total_usd": 15426.422917000007,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1900000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4490BD4812",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HH41VPHMH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbd766b4214254635d98317461ff044ab883848b76a7dcdbba8c16c96645df275",
      "question": "Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ 1.7M: Bonbast's daily finalized USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves this market by June 30, 2026, if the specified rate threshold is met on any day through the deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bonbast",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1439.3484580000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 10571.528208,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1700000,
      "question_id": "CMX-105CBC0DDD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MX84MPRZY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8ceb1a8663f08d6d25b692032f4b80633dd4d1ad7295a9419ce34e57c676a585",
      "question": "Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ 1.5M: Bonbast's daily finalized USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves this market by June 30, 2026, if the specified rate threshold is met on any day through the deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bonbast",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 974.2226300000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 9611.369619,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-02FC28F7C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XQZ1QMLKD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcacf7d15d1c3fcff65dc01aabd006d26cca13ab872917d385c1673696da4f004",
      "question": "Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 2.0M: Bonbast's daily finalized USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves this market by June 30, 2026, if the specified rate threshold is met on any day through the deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bonbast",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 399.533477,
      "volume_total_usd": 4290.218411999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D48895AF66",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5L3YN0N3B8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf3ac84cfc033f0def72d252ff0901ac5e57744cbce8d750c854166235f44b444",
      "question": "Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1.8M: Bonbast's daily finalized USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves this market by June 30, 2026, if the specified rate threshold is met on any day through the deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bonbast",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 891.46521,
      "volume_total_usd": 23472.923951,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1800000,
      "question_id": "CMX-066245FA14",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJJQTSDPD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-35BD33PMV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xae57dbbdcd47bf37834186a5df99440e42f8448afc2a771c585adb50cd4358ae",
      "question": "Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is rele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↓ 1.6M: Bonbast's daily finalized USD exchange rate in Iranian toman resolves this market by June 30, 2026, if the specified rate threshold is met on any day through the deadline.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).\n\nA daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.\n\nRevisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bonbast.com",
            "url": "https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bonbast",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 65,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1354.621672,
      "volume_total_usd": 9990.388473000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C42C2C2225",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "currency",
        "fx",
        "iran",
        "usd irr"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DD4L20KJ3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-02T04:37:37Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MX84MPRZY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-02T04:37:37Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
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