{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
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  "slug": "will-variational-launch-a-token-in-2025",
  "question": "Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "token-launch",
    "variational",
    "web3",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Variational, a crypto derivatives protocol, will launch a native token by successive deadlines. The four Polymarket contracts form a sequential horizon structure: December 31, 2025, June 30, 2026, September 30, 2026, and December 31, 2026. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against publicly verifiable launch evidence. The 2025 deadline market resolved on January 1, 2026, per its resolve_at timestamp.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:03:49Z",
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      "question": "Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "last_price": 0.047,
      "implied_probability": 0.047,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T10:00:37.638Z",
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      "question_id": "CMX-8F6D660BA7",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDBS3KR052",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0DS4GXJ3J7",
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      "question": "Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-01T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T08:23:53Z",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-0DS4GXJ3J7",
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}