{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
  "slug": "will-ventuals-launch-a-token-by",
  "question": "Will Ventuals launch a token by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "ventuals",
    "2027",
    "launch-deadline",
    "cryptocurrency-event"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ventuals will launch a token by successive quarterly deadlines through December 31, 2026. Each binary asks the same outcome question at a later cutoff, creating an implied term structure of launch probability. Earlier deadlines resolve first; a \"No\" on March 2026 bounds later markets structurally. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing Ventuals' official communications and credible reporting.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6DSXZ9BTY3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81BT56Y217",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd364d689d37549f6eda2e2ab988c9b9fe63ff0918b25914bd729c90ea5bc05cc",
      "question": "Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31 2025: Ventuals' official communications and credible reporting confirm whether the listed entity launched an actively tradable governance token by 11:59 PM ET March 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:16:37Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/ventuals",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ventuals",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 16545.282688,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-316669E1B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6DSXZ9BTY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x49adb758053de01a31fc1fe925cba7d509babd99a1e962b627f918f2b98bbc16",
      "question": "Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31 2026: Ventuals' official communications and credible reporting confirm whether the listed entity launched an actively tradable governance token by 11:59 PM ET March 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:19:01Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/ventuals",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ventuals",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 147476.0923039999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F52A9B0BD3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TM6QGYFJ15",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6f8e9c624239a3dc853a792c624228aefbd47a6c80f6b32507fbe9dbda8b5b88",
      "question": "Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30 2026: Ventuals' official communications and credible reporting confirm whether the listed entity launched an actively tradable governance token by 11:59 PM ET March 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T08:23:53Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/ventuals",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ventuals",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 11169.915488999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E92FBB1C6C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SH9R83LXV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x778aea15e030425bb7b27dfbea6079475ef63d693586f8c72a410ecbb66feaa1",
      "question": "Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30 2026: Ventuals' official communications and credible reporting confirm whether the listed entity launched an actively tradable governance token by 11:59 PM ET March 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/ventuals",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ventuals",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T09:00:39.274Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12176.519201000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FAF70F8D08",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7ZKMNP4DM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa24a6d550afbc5bc536226bf256c81149b3a3c3636794f606fefd3edc79f4d7",
      "question": "Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31 2026: Ventuals' official communications and credible reporting confirm whether the listed entity launched an actively tradable governance token by 11:59 PM ET March 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/ventuals",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/ventuals",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ventuals",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T01:00:37.843Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24788.313369,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-FE1D2E8E49",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "launch",
        "token",
        "ventuals"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TM6QGYFJ15",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T08:23:53Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6DSXZ9BTY3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:19:01Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81BT56Y217",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:16:37Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7YTXFXFTH3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}