{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LKD4XHGN64",
  "slug": "will-xi-jinping-visit-us-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Xi Jinping visit the US before 2027?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "geopolitics",
    "us-china-relations",
    "state-visit",
    "diplomacy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Chinese President Xi Jinping will make a physical visit to the United States before January 1, 2027. A single Polymarket binary resolves yes or no on that outcome. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using official U.S. State Department or Chinese government statements as primary sources. Credible news reporting serves as supplementary evidence where official statements are absent.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZJCWVV2L51",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZJCWVV2L51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LKD4XHGN64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd7e906eaec2c7f66697447785aa1d4fdaa82f536ca533a2bc0d3535b04e832ec",
      "question": "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?",
      "description": "If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from the U.S. State Department or Chinese government, supplemented by credible news reporting, regarding whether Xi Jinping physically enters U.S. territory by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the US or China",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 24556.360416000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 560810.6367400002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "state visit",
        "us diplomacy",
        "xi jinping",
        "xi jinping us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LKD4XHGN64",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}