{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYDL3L3G73",
  "slug": "will-xi-meet-with-takaichi-by",
  "question": "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "xi-jinping",
    "japan-diplomacy",
    "high-level-meeting",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi within four successive deadlines in 2026. The June 30 contract resolves earliest; the December 31 contract sets the outer bound. Later-dated contracts imply higher cumulative probability, making the spread between strikes a measure of meeting-timing uncertainty. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, which relies on credible public reporting of a confirmed bilateral meeting.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JP76GP39S1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.66,
    "implied_probability": 0.66,
    "as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolutio",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T07:40:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 29707.862267999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x637ff14bf5b7e81ac906d7488d34492dc39586671e00d064ece47cdd845aa722",
      "question": "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolutio",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 658.820397,
      "volume_total_usd": 64932.72341800001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x55224f7b2c729d208ebc077c04d37604c7f115bf02ded27e531f2a0c6cefd4ff",
      "question": "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by July 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolutio",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T06:09:27Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1830.52108,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DVRP1D5LG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YYDL3L3G73",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x237065f3fc8ad8d96e2f3ae5f6e6f8f8a0c405f334e082b7bac37fcd6618be17",
      "question": "Will Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolutio",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "last_price": 0.09,
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YYDL3L3G73",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}