{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
  "slug": "will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821",
  "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "ukraine-russia",
    "diplomacy",
    "political-negotiation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ukrainian President Zelenskyy will hold direct talks with Russian President Putin by sequential deadlines. The staggered binary contracts span August 2026 through December 2026, creating an implicit term structure of diplomatic probability. Later-dated contracts should price at or above earlier ones; inversions would signal resolution anomalies. All six contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle based on credible public reporting of direct contact.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6X06LRW0Z8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.002,
    "implied_probability": 0.002,
    "as_of": null
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x47c20d6e9f22212072f1e0f6c343f6bb03713e01ff50c99a530c60c3fcba07e0",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-02T05:00:38.874Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 68745.735218,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc8605ba9c73fc42350af7efb509f0e99cd02ea2c8da360cc74e145f9210f3a00",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by November 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "November 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2025-12-01T07:07:38Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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        "caps": [
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      "implied_probability": 1,
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      "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-01-01T09:47:31Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x483031bae47ec74b23aa3ad31df5b97893f06a4ab5c4a1927b7b497140d66e3b",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "January 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-02-01T07:40:52Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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        "zelenskyy",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6X06LRW0Z8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x27eddf84ce75a5157f9c7af914d6dedab980ccd2c95a5889f275016e6347e51a",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T06:15:23Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x74778c328104cd816f606f44ca9717fe83036d86417de3910ccc0c1fed5d0054",
      "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nEvents that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6X06LRW0Z8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T06:15:23Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-40MS8SQ405",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-02-01T07:40:52Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C87ZFS1V00",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-01-01T09:47:31Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DF1DTQ9NP5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2025-12-01T07:07:38Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}