{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
  "slug": "wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203",
  "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "wisconsin",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026",
    "margin-of-victory"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary scheduled for August 11, 2026. Polymarket structures the event across two dimensions: winner outcome markets for Crowley, Barnes, and a residual bucket, alongside margin-of-victory tier markets exclusive to Hong spanning less than 5% through 30% or more. The cross-platform insight here is single-platform structural: outcome and margin are priced separately rather than unified, letting traders express views on both who wins and by how much. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Wisconsin Elections Commission official results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SXJB09Z9N6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.45,
    "implied_probability": 0.45
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXJB09Z9N6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x02d6690174766909e1f105155e28a98687445a41a388e1fc2147fa4fdf9ede76",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?",
      "description": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hong 30%+: Wisconsin Elections Commission official results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates by vote percentage difference.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "myvote.wi.gov",
            "url": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Wisconsin",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3379.0524360000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 42762.03871599999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "francesca hong wisconsin",
        "governor",
        "hong",
        "primary",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QBS55SYV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x000d5528d8a5852b8b98cf43879e6b172db08822b1a77e805fe2ed803c7d0df9",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?",
      "description": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hong 25–30%: Wisconsin Elections Commission official results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates by vote percentage difference.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "myvote.wi.gov",
            "url": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Wisconsin",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3446.8042280000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 11507.307021,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 25,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "francesca hong wisconsin",
        "governor",
        "hong",
        "primary",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7L1YSS0XP2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x52f7870ed3590bf5acc33d2658dcaa2fc0e623563b7b4088e8f01b8f747f4ded",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?",
      "description": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hong 20–25%: Wisconsin Elections Commission official results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates by vote percentage difference.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "myvote.wi.gov",
            "url": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Wisconsin",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.051,
      "implied_probability": 0.051,
      "volume_24h_usd": 39.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 706.438638,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "francesca hong wisconsin",
        "governor",
        "hong",
        "primary",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-849ZS7Q0R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a3d409262a75c4c2e83d67be9c0e27dae8d30bb90ab87a85f5a946599574793",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 15–20%?",
      "description": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hong 15–20%: Wisconsin Elections Commission official results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates by vote percentage difference.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "myvote.wi.gov",
            "url": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Wisconsin",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 508.05950299999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 15,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "francesca hong wisconsin",
        "governor",
        "hong",
        "primary",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q0Y2RL0NH9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b2d072d20425611da9f33eb50ce62ead15d0b77a1b495482a63dfacf06c4f93",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?",
      "description": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hong 10–15%: Wisconsin Elections Commission official results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates by vote percentage difference.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "myvote.wi.gov",
            "url": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Wisconsin",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Elections Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 400.4901,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 10,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "francesca hong wisconsin",
        "governor",
        "hong",
        "primary",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RCC2VGVZ70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BFGM989KC0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd4f131e1eec889c5e95f52f7bd07aefd0bcab7a5e76341e5784f0290d7b82770",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?",
      "description": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hong 5–10%: Wisconsin Elections Commission official results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates by vote percentage difference.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "myvote.wi.gov",
            "url": "https://myvote.wi.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "State of Wisconsin",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",
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