{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
  "slug": "wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "wisconsin",
    "democratic-primary",
    "gubernatorial"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026. Polymarket lists individual binary contracts per named candidate, plus placeholder slots for undeclared entrants. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Wisconsin Democratic Party's official primary announcement. Implied probabilities across named contracts must sum to one; residual weight in placeholder contracts signals field uncertainty.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MV8GVJF552",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.738,
    "implied_probability": 0.738
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NL3JX4J869",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf23716a3fdb338cdc046144994d9b451cc8d7a7a7d1d3296e4252499a2edc1f7",
      "question": "Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "David Crowley: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1338.303516,
      "volume_total_usd": 23942.717543000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LCW1P0QV62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe77345ea0ddb380b7a27d58325b85bf9783f69bb31fff33ec1d3d4ce3c1b5586",
      "question": "Will Missy Hughes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Missy Hughes: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3500.133,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SBDF2WYBK4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6bb7b47236aafe3cde3389214c31055abaa815b7170d9c12dcbea43b8a884925",
      "question": "Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sara Rodriguez: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.031,
      "implied_probability": 0.031,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 48093.31782899999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VC8MJV4T72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x80c4071050deed492007cc230a0e8c913a876c6c54d87f0892c18a9d7517d2b2",
      "question": "Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kelda Roys: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 62,
      "volume_total_usd": 11701.096858,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LLCG28T1Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdda5fffe8bf55eb8409b9cf35a3a79b829cead72dd793f315012f2a8dcc94e7b",
      "question": "Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Joel Brennan: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10359.210446000005,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YB6LR4S217",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeb823dc6aec5a66cb957502d8b3a9f18e8f2bc671896a85d58f4ed82e37715f0",
      "question": "Will Chris Larson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Chris Larson: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q36QM49SS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6a21dec4a7223199b42de7eb602d0da1213bc5a44700d8299befbdaacfe6d785",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate A: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PFBX30YHF2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x01cd24521b0bd1a3432657a27081b12bb3775c6cf9e589cd68c743a3228c113a",
      "question": "Will Candidate C win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Democratic Party",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
        "wisconsin governor democratic"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JKFT1K8WD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3cbd236a6accad35272eb793bd9876ce347aa51d3386af8c5ab341633348a683",
      "question": "Will Candidate E win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate E: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 11, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
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