{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4LKNWV0HT2",
  "slug": "wisconsin-governor-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Republican win the Wisconsin Governor primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "wisconsin",
    "republican-primary",
    "governor"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled to resolve August 11, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Named entrants include Rebecca Kleefisch, Tom Tiffany, Tommy Thompson, Tim Michels, Eric Hovde, and Sean Duffy, plus placeholder slots for undeclared candidates. Traders should note that placeholder contracts create ambiguity if late entrants qualify under multiple generic tiers.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QFS32CHPN1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.002,
    "as_of": "2026-08-28T17:01:33.574Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4LKNWV0HT2",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1677aaf33a808c6408e205c349095a6ef3236fda369133ba1cf67efed14c6d89",
      "question": "Will Andy Manske win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Manske: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-28T17:01:33.574Z",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xdcf08ed21b5c84af111b6fe07d9a0c3779aa43cb56d7589ba9a5473f6dc1b308",
      "question": "Will Josh Schoemann win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Josh Schoemann: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-08T06:00:30.042Z",
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      "question": "Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Tom Tiffany: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "last_price": 0.999,
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      "question": "Will Tommy Thompson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
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        "caps": [],
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-07T21:00:27.861Z",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QFS32CHPN1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa2b74d1fabb8a8abba2974d90c7041ad06acf609d5c5ff31fbb662a352c4f42e",
      "question": "Will Sean Duffy win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sean Duffy: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Eric Hovde win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Hovde: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X749HJ5KY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4LKNWV0HT2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a5b58be1592ac07fd0667bd3d034f290c7ea7df17b11221f28dc2b9e7e4f350",
      "question": "Will Rebecca Kleefisch win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Rebecca Kleefisch: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-22T00:00:35.640Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZVYJDL3K0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xac0217c6cc03a931a6d71456772bd3480c86eaa1f385d38e60db5958b069cfbc",
      "question": "Will Tim Michels win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tim Michels: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "name": "Wisconsin Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.011,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-11T16:00:57.517Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J9CQVMZVP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4LKNWV0HT2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x782cb9d1ce9b8e3ed2092eb1add3ba414cbcbcd44d435a35be2bbbd7e744ed86",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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