{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYSXP23XP8",
  "slug": "wisconsin-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will the Wisconsin gubernatorial election be won by the incumbent or a challenger?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-governors",
    "wisconsin",
    "2026-election",
    "partisan-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. Polymarket structures the event as a multi-leg binary set, with separate contracts for Democrats, Republicans, named candidates, and residual options. All legs resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using an Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC race call as the authoritative trigger. Probabilities across all legs must sum to one, so pricing in any leg implicitly prices all others.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9RFKVDZL86",
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    "implied_probability": 0.54
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfbd0a65112e26d9a2a68dc47f8a95c6c14d22650cb4837c5429b546726661b71",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the named candidate's party in the 2026 gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "question": "Will Option A win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Option A: The Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the named candidate's party in the 2026 gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf4c9e0b7b68aa2987e08152c7d63d7f0670196c49fb90994895cdc7f2460f8f9",
      "question": "Will Option B win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "question": "Will Option C win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
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      "resolution": {
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      "question": "Will Option D win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QYSXP23XP8",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb08ed7ced953674204b170414720283a8a41feeb14efe97f85f8cb9614e25077",
      "question": "Will Option E win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This ma",
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      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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