{ "_notice": { "type": "free_key_offer", "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.", "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/", "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change." }, "event_id": "CM-EVT-1RJ8686DQ2", "slug": "wy-al-house-election-winner", "question": "Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?", "category": "politics", "event_type": "BINARY", "ladder_distribution": null, "tags": [ "politics", "elections", "wyoming", "2026", "house-race", "us-house" ], "catalyst_types": [], "catalyst_dates": [], "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Wyoming At-Large House race in the November 2026 general election. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts: one per named candidate, plus party-level and third-party buckets. The candidate contracts and party contracts price the same outcome at different levels of aggregation. Resolution relies on the Federal Election Commission's official winner declaration, processed through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.", "venues_covered": [ "polymarket" ], "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-C6Q067XGL2", "current_primary_mark": { "last_price": 0.937, "implied_probability": 0.937 }, "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00", "markets": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-C6Q067XGL2", "event_id": "CM-EVT-1RJ8686DQ2", "platform": "polymarket", "platform_market_id": "0xeb34833590838d907ae1d548351304b4976af0310d683e33a1b49eea8af06001", "question": "Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?", "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\nA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USDC", "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission announces the official winner of the Wyoming At-Large House seat in the November 4, 2026 general election.", "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\nA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).", "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle", "proposer": "managed_whitelist", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": null, "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 58, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 7 }, "last_price": 0.937, "implied_probability": 0.937, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 18327.816962000004, "settlement_style": "occurrence", "direction": "occurrence", "threshold": null, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2024", "house", "republican party", "wy-al" ], "eligibility_screens": null }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-MM2N3WPM99", "event_id": "CM-EVT-1RJ8686DQ2", "platform": "polymarket", "platform_market_id": "0x91352595381f17e049c6e6b2a4ab17bc753582cfd8d3ad27b10d6217440a14ae", "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?", "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\nA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USDC", "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission announces the official winner of the Wyoming At-Large House seat in the November 4, 2026 general election.", "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\nA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).", "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle", "proposer": "managed_whitelist", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": null, "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "C", "score": 58, "caps": [ "uncommitted_placeholder" ], "applied_factors": 7 }, "last_price": 0.02, "implied_probability": 0.02, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 23181.163845000014, "settlement_style": "occurrence", "direction": "occurrence", "threshold": null, "question_id": null, "also_on": null, "tags": [ "2024", "democratic party", "house", "wy-al" ], "eligibility_screens": null } ], "resolution_log": [], "_provenance": { "source": "clearmarket.fyi", "ref": "CM-EVT-1RJ8686DQ2", "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi" } }