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  "slug": "xai-grok-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will xAI's Grok achieve a score on the FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?",
  "category": "technology",
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  "tags": [
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    "grok",
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  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether any xAI Grok model achieves specific score thresholds on the FrontierMath benchmark by February 28, 2026. The four Polymarket contracts form a tiered strike structure at 25%, 30%, 40%, and 50%, pricing discrete probability at each score level. Resolution defers to Epoch AI's FrontierMath lead as authoritative scorer, via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. All four contracts share a February 28, 2026 resolution date.",
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