{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNNDPBVFG8",
  "slug": "xi-jinping-divorce-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "china-politics",
    "xi-jinping",
    "personal-life",
    "2026-resolution",
    "geopolitical-speculation"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Xi Jinping will publicly announce a divorce from Peng Liyuan before December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution requires official statements from Xi, Peng Liyuan, or their representatives confirming divorce intent. No corroborating platform prices this event, limiting cross-market signal.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7Q6PTFQD19",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.018,
    "implied_probability": 0.018
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7Q6PTFQD19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNNDPBVFG8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc4eef02c621d3e8e506400736f327f0e71f0fafa4bc48e72c7b712b0982d1949",
      "question": "Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consens",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan or their representatives announcing intention to divorce by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 27,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.018,
      "implied_probability": 0.018,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 103781.46938099992,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chinese politics",
        "personal",
        "xi jinping"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QNNDPBVFG8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}