{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
  "slug": "xrp-above-on-august-5-2026",
  "question": "XRP price, August 5, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1,
      1.1
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.6,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.7,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.8,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.9,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.1,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.2,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.3,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "xrp",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track XRP/USDT spot price against eleven discrete strike thresholds on August 5, 2026. Each binary contract prices the probability of XRP closing above a specific level, from $0.60 to $1.60. The ladder structure implies a cumulative distribution: higher-strike contracts must price at or below lower-strike contracts. Resolution uses the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2XKBD5HKD8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.18,
    "implied_probability": 0.18
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-68BSWJNY99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfccbbe1f4887992749ede359b5fb42ee44efb81d48e42951e23272fc280e3339",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.60: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 120,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-6848F1EFF3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Y470D60G2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbddd06d9119c42c7dbcb8df4debc45505179a28e9f20465f358a65a198a97e56",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.70: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-2398087962",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HH5J9S6XR1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x02a5a73fb774442de21589951eec364bdc1afe45c78d8f598fc8d15ad880424d",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.80: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 115,
      "volume_total_usd": 150.06,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-78C1D6C640",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SZ9QV904X2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5932ca8c2906e0155b701f85809c74f0d2a51a088bab262035b25ea0059f855c",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.90: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-A3E3B8C246",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5Y9PKRXQP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe8949bd66fa5848bac898a1f5f4c4df78c873d753aa51d5739e2d3d531e748aa",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.00: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.991,
      "implied_probability": 0.991,
      "volume_24h_usd": 223.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 4797.88431,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-95E5435B45",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2XKBD5HKD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc21dbdeb6ebaf5f166bc6add703235283727afb89204044c3cd278744e559022",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.10: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 47.063995000000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 83.828698,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-D14527BAF3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-95KRX9SFB8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfe5708d46205a4b5c546f4be0c3bea7cfe6b4a6ac4c0f6eabf5c641b0016914",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.20: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2410,
      "volume_total_usd": 2602.5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-BA5E0BDECD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-99YSBGMHL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1662520b03b428cf048337cb321bde43760066f5fcf5e20c59647d8cdf157411",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.30: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6042.859665,
      "volume_total_usd": 6047.859665,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-B0DBA866FF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YKSPVK87L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2503c531a4ec483184bd729f3d52fc5aefda5a751334bc720b6f0c84aa262b6a",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.40: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 715,
      "volume_total_usd": 720,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-E2CB1F76A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NY6MG158T7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a0ad26c67af4bfb0aacb5ed1209c0bdd929273ea7afdab82ecaf495d3c23f97",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.50: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 805.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 1020.4000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-B4754F5230",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-23J43M92N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x152db0418b2672ab71a9c9b1bb12adcd8e6850e37a4cd9324a578f4a8cc1b13e",
      "question": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.60: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the listed cryptocurrency's price exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "binance.com",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 81,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 885.2,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-8AAEB9963E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TJ559C0N23",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}