{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JRZD8SKXP9",
  "slug": "xrp-all-time-high-by",
  "question": "Will XRP reach a new all-time high by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "xrp",
    "price-milestone",
    "altcoin",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether XRP will set a new all-time high price by each quarterly deadline in 2026. The four contracts are structured as sequential binary options: March 31, June 30, September 30, and December 31, 2026. Resolution probability increases cumulatively across the strip, as a March resolution implies June also resolves yes. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against observed spot price data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-H46Z0C84V4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H46Z0C84V4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JRZD8SKXP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15c74250e38574bdf3cd2e9296323dfbbb9062f1505c11eb061e95048b4fa99c",
      "question": "XRP all time high by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:27:03Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 210080.071119,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0A80B12DDD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TB7H21VTN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JRZD8SKXP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x853f5b131832a449be856e45255b02cfb089362d34858191057740ddb7e406ef",
      "question": "XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 530.9672899999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 80316.760898,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-65524F2870",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FCMVWBTM00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JRZD8SKXP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86d0232cd2d07900e00a49c1606863ad760618fa36861add2777839bd05b06af",
      "question": "XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.014,
      "implied_probability": 0.014,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 25894.033907,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0859412926",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RPHZM9147",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JRZD8SKXP9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6639a69c079b43a001c9f27c3e774076b421738bef66d0f6542bc5af3f5bffc8",
      "question": "XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17209.822283999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0122C5C49E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "altcoin",
        "xrp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TB7H21VTN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H46Z0C84V4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:27:03Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JRZD8SKXP9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}