{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKK310DFX6",
  "slug": "yevhen-khmara-appointed-as-ukrainian-minister-of-defence-by-july-31-20260716170825742",
  "question": "Will Yevhen Khmara be appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "ukraine",
    "defense-ministry",
    "government-appointments",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Yevhen Khmara receives a formal appointment as Ukrainian Minister of Defence. The July 31 and August 31 contracts are sequential binary triggers on the same appointment event. Earlier resolution implies higher urgency; the August contract remains live if July lapses unresolved. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against publicly verifiable appointment records.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-48F9FJ6KL4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.048,
    "implied_probability": 0.048
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-48F9FJ6KL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKK310DFX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa7f1b37853eec207983ae8303999dc86a5021fdadc883479d53cd766c23e0e7",
      "question": "Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.\n\nA nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.\n\nA nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify.\n\nAn appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position.\n\nIf the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "name": "official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official information from the President of Ukraine",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.048,
      "implied_probability": 0.048,
      "volume_24h_usd": 837.668066,
      "volume_total_usd": 14522.471864000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "defence",
        "government",
        "ukraine",
        "yevhen khmara ukrainian"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TN5TNFXFS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKK310DFX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5205cc7e0bea81f9bb6243aa63fa3abf9065f3a7e369b55df9325402cea5cc1b",
      "question": "Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.\n\nA nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nAn appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.\n\nA nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify.\n\nAn appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position.\n\nIf the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "official information from the President of Ukraine",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.59,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.694914,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cabinet",
        "defence",
        "government",
        "ukraine",
        "yevhen khmara ukrainian"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TKK310DFX6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}